Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.036781 0.039730 0.042825 0.046320 0.050164 0.054268 0.058989
2025-03-23 0.031735 0.035850 0.040408 0.045849 0.052194 0.059389 0.068209
2025-03-30 0.028332 0.033088 0.038572 0.045403 0.053739 0.063651 0.076436
2025-04-06 0.025556 0.030637 0.036685 0.044477 0.054343 0.066543 0.082964
2025-04-13 0.024016 0.029460 0.036122 0.044971 0.056554 0.071396 0.092176
2025-04-20 0.022528 0.028183 0.035274 0.044941 0.057971 0.075205 0.100201
2025-04-27 0.021506 0.027396 0.034949 0.045501 0.060118 0.080042 0.109940
2025-05-04 0.020317 0.026292 0.034104 0.045255 0.061085 0.083247 0.117543
2025-05-11 0.019300 0.025340 0.033380 0.045091 0.062097 0.086520 0.125440
2025-05-18 0.018358 0.024426 0.032638 0.044823 0.062898 0.089483 0.133046
2025-05-25 0.017563 0.023663 0.032049 0.044714 0.063890 0.092751 0.141345
2025-06-01 0.016668 0.022708 0.031129 0.044048 0.063971 0.094589 0.147433
2025-06-08 0.015769 0.021711 0.030105 0.043180 0.063701 0.095881 0.152780
2025-06-15 0.015066 0.020963 0.029404 0.042754 0.064084 0.098226 0.160110
2025-06-22 0.014424 0.020270 0.028746 0.042346 0.064451 0.100544 0.167564
2025-06-29 0.013713 0.019442 0.027842 0.041495 0.064028 0.101486 0.172579
2025-07-06 0.013386 0.019173 0.027768 0.041950 0.065778 0.106232 0.185029
2025-07-13 0.012962 0.018737 0.027412 0.041922 0.066702 0.109583 0.195128
2025-07-20 0.012694 0.018525 0.027392 0.042437 0.068574 0.114741 0.209230
2025-07-27 0.012273 0.018057 0.026945 0.042211 0.069130 0.117526 0.218826
2025-08-03 0.011894 0.017639 0.026557 0.042060 0.069799 0.120555 0.229196
2025-08-10 0.011517 0.017208 0.026129 0.041813 0.070273 0.123232 0.239070
2025-08-17 0.011191 0.016846 0.025796 0.041713 0.071002 0.126441 0.250402